FISCAL NOTE FOR NON-CAPITAL PROJECTS

 

Department:

Contact Person/Phone:

DOF Analyst/Phone:

Legislative Department

G. Saroja Reddy   684-8147

Cheryl Swab, 4-8053

 

 

Legislation Title:

 AN ORDINANCE relating to regular property taxes; providing for the submission to the qualified electors of the City at a special election called on September 14, 2004, of a proposition authorizing the City to levy regular property taxes for up to seven years in excess of the 101% limitation and any other limitation on levies in Chapter 84.55 RCW for the purpose of providing City services, including providing Seattle School District public school students, Seattle youth, and their families with educational and developmental services; authorizing the creation of a new subfund; creating an oversight committee; and authorizing implementing agreements.

 

 

 

·        Summary of the Legislation:

 

This legislation would place on the ballot a renewal of the 1990 and 1997 Families and Education Levies.  The proposal is a $116.8 million package that focuses resources on early learning, family support, family involvement, out-of-school time, middle school support services, support for middle- and high-school-age youth who are at risk of dropping out, student health services and school crossing guards.  Program areas are tied to improving the chances of academic success for children.  There are specific goals for evaluation and accountability.  The overall goal is to give every child and every family a chance for success in school.

 

The Families and Education Levy proposal would focus resources in the areas where the City of Seattle can have the most positive effect on improving and supporting student academic success.  Educational and Developmental Services (EDS), funded by Proceeds, are services designed to help address the needs of Seattle’s public school children and Seattle’s youth and families, with the intent of promoting learning, supporting academic achievement, increasing access to services and the administration of those services.  Initially, EDS would be provided through 9 program components.

 

These anticipated program component descriptions are only illustrative examples.  In the annual City budget or by separate ordinance, the City shall from year-to-year determine the budget and allocations among the nine program components, add or delete program components or program elements within a program component, change the scope of activities or the emphasis, and, within a budget year, reallocate unexpended and unencumbered funds from one program element or program component to another.  Proceeds and appropriations unexpended at the end of any budget year shall automatically be carried over to the next budget year.

 

1.      Preschool and Early Childhood Education  - $3,944,254

2.      Family Support -  $2,330,248

3.       Family Involvement - $500,000

4.      Middle School Support - $1,000,000 (including program management)

a)      Directly involving school/community team members in identification of specific local barriers to learning and in selection of appropriate programs to address these barriers;

b)      Implementing tested and effective programs that address local barriers to learning and have a proven track record of: reducing truancy, drop-out, delinquency, substance abuse, or violent behavior; or of improving student behavior; and

c)      Allocation for personnel to provide training and technical assistance to create and empower teams of middle school and community stakeholders to develop and implement action plans to reduce the most prevalent risk factors and elevated barriers to learning in the local youth population.

5.      Out-of-School Time -  $3,100,000

6.      Support for High-Risk Middle and High School Youth - $1,195,700

7.      Student Health Services - $3,671,077

8.      Evaluation - $200,000

9.      School Crossing Guards - $513,900. 

10.  Central Levy Administration - $500,000

11.  Program Administration – Overall program management is budgeted at 8%. 

12.  Oversight Committee

13.  Implementation and Evaluation Plan

14.  Implementing Agreements 

15.  City of Seattle/Seattle School District Partnership Agreement

16.  Reporting

 

 

·        Background: (Include brief description of the purpose and context of legislation and include record of previous legislation and funding history, if applicable):

 

In April 1990, then-Mayor Norm Rice convened an education summit to recognize the City's role in supporting students outside the classroom.  Participants recommended a special emphasis on services that ensured children and youth are safe, healthy, and ready to learn.  In the fall of 1990, Seattle voters passed the first Seattle Families and Education Levy, which raised $69.2 million over seven years.  Programs and services funded by the first Families and Education Levy included:

· Early childhood development;

· School-based student/family services;

· Comprehensive student health services; and

· Out-of-school-time activities.

 

In 1997, Seattle voters renewed their commitment to strengthening schools, families, and communities by approving a second seven-year, $69-million Families and Education Levy.  The 1997 Levy invested in the same key areas with a greater emphasis on supporting middle school students.

 

The 2002 and 2003 State of Children and Youth in Seattle reports show that Seattle’s children and youth are not doing equally well.  The data from both years show unacceptable disproportionality in educational outcomes for children and youth by race, income and across geographic areas of the city.  Youth of color and youth living in poverty are overwhelmingly in Southeast and Southwest Seattle.  These are also the areas of the city showing higher concentrations of unexcused absences and failure to meet Washington Assessment of Student Learning standards (WASL). 

 

In 1993, the Legislature passed the education reform law, which mandated academic standards and statewide assessments, including the WASL.  The class of 2008 must pass the WASL in 2006 in order to graduate from high school.  The federal No Child Left Behind Act further requires all students to meet state standards and for schools to reduce disproportionality in test scores.

 

Economic success in life is correlated to the number of years a child attends school.   The need to support Seattle’s children so they can succeed in school has clearly been demonstrated.

 

 

·        Please check one of the following:

 

____    This legislation does not have any financial implications. (Stop here and delete the remainder of this document prior to saving and printing.)

 

__X_   This legislation has financial implications. (Please complete all relevant sections that follow.)

 

 

Appropriations:  This table should reflect appropriations that are a direct result of this legislation.  In the event that the project/ programs associated with this ordinance have appropriations that were, or will be, received because of previous or future legislation or budget actions, please provide details in the Notes section below.

 

Fund Name and Number

Department

Budget Control Level*

2004

Appropriation

2005 Anticipated Appropriation

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

 

 

 

 

*See budget book to obtain the appropriate Budget Control Level for your department.

 

Notes:  This legislation does not appropriate funds to specific City departments.  This legislation would place on the September, 2004 ballot a $116.8 million renewal of the Families and Education Levy.  Should the ballot measure pass, the Executive will present an implementation and evaluation  plan for Council approval by ordinance.

 

Anticipated Revenue/Reimbursement: Resulting From This Legislation: This table should reflect revenues/reimbursements that are a direct result of this legislation.  In the event that the issues/projects associated with this ordinance/resolution have revenues or reimbursements that were, or will be, received because of previous or future legislation or budget actions, please provide details in the Notes section below the table.

 

REVENUES

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note:  This table assumes a 99 percent collection rate.  The interest rate is based on the average Seattle CPI.

Total Regular Positions Created Or Abrogated Through This Legislation, Including FTE Impact:  This table should only reflect the actual number of positions created by this legislation.  In the event that positions have been, or will be, created as a result of previous or future legislation or budget actions, please provide details in the Notes section below the table.

Position Title and Department*

Fund Name

Fund Number

Part-Time/ Full Time

2004

Positions

2004 FTE

2005 Positions**

2005 FTE**

 

 

N/a, see note

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

*   List each position separately

** 2005 positions and FTE are total 2005 position changes resulting from this legislation, not incremental changes. Therefore, under 2005, please be sure to include any continuing positions from 2004

 

 

Notes: the implementation process mentioned above will determine Positions.

 

·        Do positions sunset in the future?  (If yes, identify sunset date):

N/a

 

Spending/Cash Flow: This table should be completed only in those cases where part or all of the funds authorized by this legislation will be spent in a different year than when they were appropriated (e.g., as in the case of certain grants and capital projects).  Details surrounding spending that will occur in future years should be provided in the Notes section below the table.

SEE ATTACHED TABLE– Ed Levy Summary

* See budget book to obtain the appropriate Budget Control Level for your department.

 

Notes:

 

 

·        What is the financial cost of not implementing the legislation? (Estimate the costs to the City of not implementing the legislation, including estimated costs to maintain or expand an existing facility or the cost avoidance due to replacement of an existing facility, potential conflicts with regulatory requirements, or other potential costs if the legislation is not implemented.)

 

The 2002 and 2003 State of Children and Youth in Seattle reports show that Seattle’s children and youth are not doing equally well.  The data from both years show unacceptable disproportionality in educational outcomes for children and youth by race, income and across geographic areas of the city.  Youth of color and youth living in poverty are overwhelmingly in Southeast and Southwest Seattle.  These are also the areas of the city showing higher concentrations of unexcused absences and failure to meet Washington Assessment of Student Learning standards (WASL). 

 

Economic success in life is correlated to the number of years a child attends school.  The need to support Seattle’s children so they can succeed in school has clearly been demonstrated.

 

·        What are the possible alternatives to the legislation that could achieve the same or similar objectives? (Include any potential alternatives to the proposed legislation, such as reducing fee-supported activities, identifying outside funding sources for fee-supported activities, etc.)

 The alternative is to fund these program areas through other than City funding.

 

·        Is the legislation subject to public hearing requirements:  (If yes, what public hearings have been held to date, and/or what plans are in place to hold a public hearing(s) in the future.)

The development of this proposal began with the Levy Oversight Committee (LOC), which is a seven-member panel serving three-year terms, established by ordinance to advise the Mayor and City Council on levy spending and policy.

 

The LOC drafted a policy framework for renewal of the levy, which was developed with expert and community input.  It outlined the goals of the levy, the role of the City of Seattle in education and the recommended areas in which the Levy could invest (called “strategic areas of investment.”)

 

The City’s Office for Education then conducted a process to help the LOC refine the framework.  Input from community meetings, expert panels and a community survey (translated into multiple languages) all contributed to the final framework.

 

After the LOC adopted its policy framework, Mayor Nickels convened a Citizens’ Advisory Committee (CAC) to advise the LOC by recommending services in which the new Levy should invest.  The 42-member CAC engaged more than 2,500 people in its decision-making.

 

The LOC took the CAC’s recommendations seriously and, through a set of work sessions over the course of 5 months, came to agreement on a recommendation to the Mayor.  The Mayor’s proposal, follows the LOC’s and CAC’s recommendations.

 

The City Council has held eight Committee of the Whole meetings and a public hearing  on this legislation.  Over 100 citizens who came to express their ideas and concerns on strategies that would effectively support student’s academic achievement, attended the public hearing.

 

 

 

 

 

·        Other Issues (including long-term implications of the legislation):

 

 

 

Please list attachments to the fiscal note below:

  1. Ed Levy Summary
  2. Cost per homeowner
  3. Investment Areas
  4. Interest Rate Calculation
  5. Collection Estimates

 


Attachment 1:  Ed Levy Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected Expenditures for seven year levy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EXPENDITURES

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

 

Investment Area

2005 Budget

2006 Budget

2007 Budget

2008 Budget

2009 Budget

2010 Budget

2011 Budget

2012 Budget

Total

Early Learning Networks

$1,242,109

$2,594,788

$3,310,118

$4,025,554

$4,085,937

$4,147,226

$4,209,435

$2,518,341

$26,134,000

Middle School Support

$330,000

$1,015,000

$1,030,225

$1,045,678

$1,061,364

$1,077,284

$1,093,443

$743,596

$7,397,000

Out of School Time

$747,426

$2,084,261

$2,743,582

$3,146,500

$3,193,698

$3,241,603

$3,290,227

$2,237,519

$20,685,000

Middle & High School Youth

$400,500

$1,231,840

$1,250,318

$1,269,072

$1,288,108

$1,307,430

$1,327,042

$902,455

$8,977,000

Student Health Services

$1,232,097

$3,789,631

$3,846,475

$3,904,173

$3,962,735

$4,022,176

$4,082,509

$2,776,310

$27,616,000

Family Support

$768,982

$2,365,202

$2,400,680

$2,436,690

$2,473,240

$2,510,339

$2,547,994

$1,732,763

$17,236,000

Family Involvement

$161,420

$496,487

$503,935

$511,494

$519,166

$526,953

$534,858

$363,730

$3,618,000

School Crossing Guards

$513,900

$521,609

$529,433

$268,687

$0

$0

$0

$0

$1,834,000

Levy Administration

$165,000

$507,500

$515,113

$522,839

$530,682

$538,642

$546,722

$371,798

$3,698,000

Evaluation

$66,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$134,000

$1,400,000

  Total Expenditures

$5,627,000

$14,806,000

$16,330,000

$17,331,000

$17,315,000

$17,572,000

$17,832,000

$11,781,000

$118,595,000

REVENUES

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

 

 

2005 Budget

2006 Budget

2007 Budget

2008 Budget

2009 Budget

2010 Budget

2011 Budget

2012 Budget

Total

Levy Legal Allocation (per Ordinance)

$16,684,000

$16,684,000

$16,684,000

$16,684,000

$16,684,000

$16,684,000

$16,684,000

$0

$116,788,000

Estimated property taxes to be collected

$16,272,000

$16,516,000

$16,573,000

$16,614,000

$16,619,000

$16,619,000

$16,620,000

$349,000

$116,182,000

Investment Earnings Net

$77,000

$226,000

$283,000

$345,000

$429,000

$596,000

$393,000

$67,000

$2,416,000

  Total Revenues

$16,349,000

$16,742,000

$16,856,000

$16,959,000

$17,048,000

$17,215,000

17,013,000

$416,000

$118,598,000

FUND BALANCE

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

 

 

2005 Budget

2006 Budget

2007 Budget

2008 Budget

2009 Budget

2010 Budget

2011 Budget

2012 Budget

Total

Total Revenues

$16,349,000

$16,742,000

$16,856,000

$16,959,000

$17,048,000

$17,215,000

$17,013,000

$416,000

$118,598,000

Total Expenditures

($5,627,000)

($14,806,000)

($16,330,000)

($17,331,000)

($17,315,000)

($17,572,000)

(17,832,000)

($11,781,000)

($118,594,000)

Excess of Revenues over Expenditures

$10,722,000

$1,936,000

$526,000

-$372,000

-$267,000

-$357,000

-819,000

-$11,365,000

$4,000

Difference in Summit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ending Fund Balance

$10,722,000

$12,658,000

$13,184,000

$12,812,000

$12,545,000

$12,188,000

$11,369,000

$4,000

$4,000

 

Expenditure Assumptions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.  Early Learning spends 44% of half of one year of annualized costs in 2005; 60% in 2006; 80% in 2007

 

 

 

 

2.  OST - existing services are fully funded in 2005, new services are funded at 33% of annualized cost in 2005 and 60% in 2006 and 85% in 2007

3.  Middle & High School assumes funding an existing program for three months of 2005, funded by the past levy (33% of total in 2005)

 

 

4.  Health assumes on-going program of which four months of 2005 will be funded by past levy; this assumes 33%; $200K in 2005 and $100K in 2006 is added to the new levy amount in order to start the clinics out at the past levy levels.

5.  School-based health centers are reduced by $200,000 to reflect increased third party billing.  

6.  Family Involvement is funded at 33% of annualized cost in 2005 due to funding from previous levy.

 

7.  Assumes OFE is funded at 3.2% of services.

8.  Assumes 1.5% inflation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9.  School crossing guards are funded for 3.5 years.

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue Assumptions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.  Assumes approximately 99% collection rate

2.  The interest rate is based on the average Seattle CPI


Attachment 2:  Cost per Homeowner

 

 

 

Total Levy Amt

$116,788,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Annual Amount Collected

 

 

 

 

at 7 years

 

 

 

 

 

$16,243,000

 

Estimate

 

Assessed Value

AV Growth

Rate

Annual cost to owner of avg priced home

Median

Tax Year

Estimate

Assumption

at 7 yrs

 

Value

2004

83,269,907,982

 

 

at 7 yrs

$346,080

2005

$87,017,053,841

1.045

$0.19

 

$356,462

2006

$90,932,821,264

1.045

$0.18

$68

$367,156

2007

$95,024,798,221

1.045

$0.18

$67

$378,171

2008

$99,300,914,141

1.045

$0.17

$66

$389,516

2009

$103,769,455,277

1.045

$0.16

$65

$401,202

2010

$108,439,080,765

1.045

$0.15

$65

$413,238

2011

$113,318,839,399

1.045

$0.15

$64

$425,635

2012

$118,418,187,172

1.045

 

$63

$438,404

2013

$123,747,005,595

1.045

 

Annual cost to owner of avg priced home

$451,556

2014

$129,315,620,847

1.045

 

 

$465,103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total amount per household for the life of the levy

$458

 

 

 

Average per year over the life of the levy

 

 

$65

 


 

Attachment 3:  Investment Areas

 

Strategic Areas

Program

 2004 GF allocation

2004 Ed Levy Adopted Budget

GF Recommendations for 2005

Ed Levy Full Annual Expenditure

Net difference for GF

Net difference for Ed Levy

Current investment (GF & Ed Levy)

Proposed investment (GF & Ed Levy)

Difference between proposed and current investments

 

Early Learning

Comprehensive Child Care (subsidies)

119,905

915,424

1,035,329

480,228

915,424

(435,196)

1,035,329

1,515,557

480,228

Preschool for four year olds

 

 

 

2,530,588

0

2,530,588

0

2,530,588

2,530,588

 

Supporting Child Care quality (ages 0-5)

1,040,140

438,869

 

250,000

(1,040,140)

(188,869)

1,479,009

250,000

(1,229,009)

 

Parent/child home visits

 

 

 

125,000

0

125,000

0

125,000

125,000

 

Preschool/K transition

 

 

 

74,000

0

74,000

0

74,000

74,000

 

Career wage ladder

 

 

 

213,000

 

213,000

 

213,000

 

 

Program management

 

 

 

279,254

0

279,254

0

279,254

279,254

 

Subtotal Early Learning

1,160,045

1,354,293

1,035,329

3,952,069

(124,716)

2,597,776

2,514,338

4,987,398

2,473,060

Family Support & Involvement

Family Support Workers

1,380,927

1,058,484

0

2,330,248

(1,380,927)

1,271,764

2,439,411

2,330,248

(109,163)

 

Family Involvement Strategies

 

 

 

499,950

 

 

0

499,950

499,950

 

Family Support Centers

457,689

813,793

1,271,482

0

813,793

(813,793)

1,271,482

1,271,482

0

 

Family Partnerships

 

348,906

0

0

0

(348,906)

348,906

0

(348,906)

 

Immigrant/Refugee Family Support

239,839

30,158

269,997

0

30,158

(30,158)

269,997

269,997

0

 

First Place Counseling

0

62,905

 

 

0

(62,905)

62,905

0

(62,905)

 

Subtotal Family Support

2,078,455

2,314,246

1,541,479

2,830,198

(536,976)

16,002

4,392,701

4,371,677

(21,024)

Middle School Support

Middle School Support

 

1,103,760

0

1,000,000

0

(103,760)

1,103,760

1,000,000

(103,760)

 

Subtotal Middle School

0

1,103,760

0

1,000,000

0

(103,760)

1,103,760

1,000,000

(103,760)

OST

After School Activities

 

1,210,163

 

330,000

0

(880,163)

1,210,163

330,000

(880,163)

 

Community Learning/PSS (middle school)

49,500

295,150

 

1,470,000

(49,500)

1,174,850

344,650

1,470,000

1,125,350

 

Community Learning/PSS (elementary school)

 

 

 

850,000

0

850,000

0

850,000

850,000

 

PSS Extra Costs

 

 

 

200,000

 

200,000

 

200,000

 

 

School Age Care subsidies (5-12 years old)

191,437

632,536

623,973

 

432,536

(632,536)

823,973

623,973

(200,000)

 

Summer scholarships

118,362

179,042

 

0

(118,362)

(179,042)

297,404

0

(297,404)

 

Program management

 

 

 

250,000

0

250,000

0

250,000

250,000

 

Subtotal OST

359,299

2,316,891

623,973

3,100,000

264,674

783,109

2,676,190

3,723,973

1,047,783

High Risk Middle & High School Youth

Youth Development Svcs

849,231

69,911

 

0

(849,231)

(69,911)

919,142

0

(919,142)

 

Coordinated Case Management

484,909

807,743

0

1,195,700

(484,909)

387,957

1,292,652

1,195,700

(96,952)

 

Youth Employment

1,213,503

0

1,213,503

 

 

0

1,213,503

1,213,503

0

 

Subtotal Middle & High School

2,547,643

877,654

1,213,503

1,195,700

(1,334,140)

318,046

3,425,297

2,409,203

(1,016,094)

Health

School-based health centers ( See Note 2)

 

1,656,819

0

2,605,000

0

948,181

1,656,819

2,605,000

948,181

 

School Nurses

 

766,545

 

699,286

0

(67,259)

766,545

699,286

(67,259)

 

Health Education

 

139,371

 

0

0

(139,371)

139,371

0

(139,371)

 

Pilot

 

0

 

 

0

0

0

0

0

 

Youth Mental Health Services

758,317

 

758,317

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Program management

527,000

 

 

345,973

(527,000)

345,973

527,000

345,973

(181,027)

 

Subtotal Health

1,285,317

2,562,735

758,317

3,650,259

(527,000)

1,087,524

3,848,052

4,408,576

560,524

School Crossing Guards

School Crossing Guards

 

 

 

513,900

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal School Crossing Guards

 

 

 

513,900

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Totals

7,430,759

9,425,819

5,172,601

16,242,127

(2,258,158)

4,802,458

16,856,578

19,900,828

3,044,250

Other

Effective Schools

 

500,000

 

 

 

 

500,000

0

(500,000)

3.17% administration

 

539,389

 

500,000

0

0

539,389

500,000

(39,389)

(39,389)

Evaluation

 

100,000

 

200,000

0

0

100,000

200,000

100,000

100,000

Grand Total

 

7,430,759

10,565,208

5,172,601

16,942,127

(2,258,158)

4,802,458

17,995,967

22,114,728

4,118,761

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Attachment 4:  Interest Rate Calculation

Levy Cash Flow

 

 

 

 

 

 

Levy Cash Flow

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Rate Assumption (annual rate compounded monthly)

 

 

In

Out

Balance

Interest

 

 

1/1/2005

 

 

 

 

 

2005

3.25%

 

2/1/2005

 

 

 

 

 

2006

3.50%

 

3/1/2005

 

 

 

 

 

2007

4.25%

 

4/1/2005

 

 

 

 

 

2008

5.50%

 

5/1/2005

 

 

 

 

 

2009

5.50%

 

6/1/2005

 

 

 

 

 

2010

5.50%

 

7/1/2005

$8,136,000

$207,018

$7,928,982

$18,171

 

2011

5.50%

 

8/1/2005

 

207,018

7,740,134

17,738

 

2012

 

 

9/1/2005

 

1,303,349

6,454,523

14,792

 

Balance

$4,327

 

10/1/2005

 

1,303,349

5,165,965

11,839

 

 

 

 

11/1/2005

 

1,303,349

3,874,455

8,879

 

 

 

 

12/1/2005

 

1,303,349

2,579,984

5,912

 

 

 

 

1/1/2006

8,136,000

1,233,833

9,488,064

25,697

 

 

 

 

2/1/2006

 

1,233,833

8,279,927

22,425

 

 

 

 

3/1/2006

 

1,233,833

7,068,518

19,144

 

 

 

 

4/1/2006

 

1,233,833

5,853,829

15,854

 

 

 

 

5/1/2006

 

1,233,833

4,635,850

12,555

 

 

 

 

6/1/2006

 

1,233,833

3,414,572

9,248

 

 

 

 

7/1/2006

8,258,000

1,233,833

10,447,986

28,297

 

 

 

 

8/1/2006

 

1,233,833

9,242,450

25,032

 

 

 

 

9/1/2006

 

1,233,833

8,033,648

21,758

 

 

 

 

10/1/2006

 

1,233,833

6,821,572

18,475

 

 

 

 

11/1/2006

 

1,233,833

5,606,214

15,183

 

 

 

 

12/1/2006

 

1,233,833

4,387,564

11,883

 

 

 

 

1/1/2007

8,258,000

1,360,833

11,296,614

32,948

 

 

 

 

2/1/2007

 

1,360,833

9,968,729

29,075

 

 

 

 

3/1/2007

 

1,360,833

8,636,971

25,191

 

 

 

 

4/1/2007

 

1,360,833

7,301,329

21,296

 

 

 

 

5/1/2007

 

1,360,833

5,961,791

17,389

 

 

 

 

6/1/2007

 

1,360,833

4,618,347

13,470

 

 

 

 

7/1/2007

8,286,500

1,360,833

11,557,483

33,709

 

 

 

 

8/1/2007

 

1,360,833

10,230,359

29,839

 

 

 

 

9/1/2007

 

1,360,833

8,899,365

25,956

 

 

 

 

10/1/2007

 

1,360,833

7,564,488

22,063

 

 

 

 

11/1/2007

 

1,360,833

6,225,718

18,158

 

 

 

 

12/1/2007

 

1,360,833

4,883,043

14,242

 

 

 

 

1/1/2008

8,286,500

1,444,250

11,739,535

41,578

 

 

 

 

2/1/2008

 

1,444,250

10,336,862

36,610

 

 

 

 

3/1/2008

 

1,444,250

8,929,222

31,624

 

 

 

 

4/1/2008

 

1,444,250

7,516,596

26,621

 

 

 

 

5/1/2008

 

1,444,250

6,098,968

21,601

 

 

 

 

6/1/2008

 

1,444,250

4,676,318

16,562

 

 

 

 

7/1/2008

8,307,000

1,444,250

11,555,630

40,926

 

 

 

 

8/1/2008

 

1,444,250

10,152,306

35,956

 

 

 

 

9/1/2008

 

1,444,250

8,744,012

30,968

 

 

 

 

10/1/2008

 

1,444,250

7,330,731

25,963

 

 

 

 

11/1/2008

 

1,444,250

5,912,444

20,940

 

 

 

 

12/1/2008

 

1,444,250

4,489,134

15,899

 

 

 

 

1/1/2009

8,307,000

1,442,917

11,369,116

52,108

 

 

 

 

2/1/2009

 

1,442,917

9,978,308

45,734

 

 

 

 

3/1/2009

 

1,442,917

8,581,125

39,330

 

 

 

 

4/1/2009

 

1,442,917

7,177,538

32,897

 

 

 

 

5/1/2009

 

1,442,917

5,767,519

26,434

 

 

 

 

6/1/2009

 

1,442,917

4,351,037

19,942

 

 

 

 

7/1/2009

8,309,500

1,442,917

11,237,562

51,505

 

 

 

 

8/1/2009

 

1,442,917

9,846,151

45,128

 

 

 

 

9/1/2009

 

1,442,917

8,448,363

38,722

 

 

 

 

10/1/2009

 

1,442,917

7,044,168

32,286

 

 

 

 

11/1/2009

 

1,442,917

5,633,537

25,820

 

 

 

 

12/1/2009

 

1,442,917

4,216,440

19,325

 

 

 

 

1/1/2010

8,309,500

1,464,333

11,080,932

50,788

 

 

 

 

2/1/2010

 

1,464,333

9,667,387

44,309

 

 

 

 

3/1/2010

 

1,464,333

8,247,362

37,800

 

 

 

 

4/1/2010

 

1,464,333

6,820,829

31,262

 

 

 

 

5/1/2010

 

1,464,333

5,387,758

24,694

 

 

 

 

6/1/2010

 

1,464,333

3,948,119

18,096

 

 

 

 

7/1/2010

8,309,500

1,464,333

10,811,381

49,552

 

 

 

 

8/1/2010

 

1,464,333

9,396,600

43,068

 

 

 

 

9/1/2010

 

1,464,333

7,975,334

36,554

 

 

 

 

10/1/2010

 

1,464,333

6,547,554

30,010

 

 

 

 

11/1/2010

 

1,464,333

5,113,231

23,436

 

 

 

 

12/1/2010

 

1,464,333

3,672,333

16,832

 

 

 

 

1/1/2011

8,309,500

1,486,000

10,512,665

48,183

 

 

 

 

2/1/2011

 

1,486,000

9,074,848

41,593

 

 

 

 

3/1/2011

 

1,486,000

7,630,441

34,973

 

 

 

 

4/1/2011

 

1,486,000

6,179,413

28,322

 

 

 

 

5/1/2011

 

1,486,000

4,721,736

21,641

 

 

 

 

6/1/2011

 

1,486,000

3,257,377

14,930

 

 

 

 

7/1/2011

8,310,000

1,486,000

10,096,307

46,275

 

 

 

 

8/1/2011

 

1,486,000

8,656,581

39,676

 

 

 

 

9/1/2011

 

1,486,000

7,210,257

33,047

 

 

 

 

10/1/2011

 

1,486,000

5,757,304

26,388

 

 

 

 

11/1/2011

 

1,486,000

4,297,692

19,698

 

 

 

 

12/1/2011

 

1,486,000

2,831,390

12,977

 

 

 

 

1/1/2012

8,310,000

981,750

10,172,617

46,624

 

 

 

 

2/1/2012

 

981,750

9,237,492

42,339

 

 

 

 

3/1/2012

 

981,750

8,298,080

38,033

 

 

 

 

4/1/2012

 

981,750

7,354,363

33,707

 

 

 

 

5/1/2012

 

981,750

6,406,320

29,362

 

 

 

 

6/1/2012

 

981,750

5,453,933

24,997

 

 

 

 

7/1/2012

349,000

981,750

4,846,180

22,212

 

 

 

 

8/1/2012

 

981,750

3,886,642

17,814

 

 

 

 

9/1/2012

 

981,750

2,922,705

13,396

 

 

 

 

10/1/2012

 

981,750

1,954,351

8,957

 

 

 

 

11/1/2012

 

981,750

981,559

4,499

 

 

 

 

12/1/2012

 

981,750

4,307

20

 

 

 

 

1/1/2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

116,182,000

118,594,433

 

2,416,760

 

 

 

 

 

 

118,598,760

 

2,416,000

 

 

 

 

Levy Cash Flow

 

4,327

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

Attachment 5:  Collection Estimates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 annual

 

 

 

 

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

collections

 Amount levied

 

 

         16,684

         16,684

         16,684

         16,684

         16,684

         16,684

         16,684

         116,788

 Amount due (after reduced tax base)

 

         16,621

         16,621

         16,621

         16,621

         16,621

         16,621

         16,621

         116,344

 Amount Collected (See assumption

2005

         16,272

 

 

 

 

 

 

           16,272

         on collections of delinquent taxes)

2006

              244

         16,272

 

 

 

 

 

           16,516

 

 

 

2007

                58

              244

         16,272

 

 

 

 

           16,573

 

 

 

2008

                41

                58

              244

         16,272

 

 

 

           16,614

 

 

 

2009

                  4

                41

                58

              244

         16,272

 

 

           16,619

 

 

 

2010

                  1

                  4

                41

                58

              244

         16,272

 

           16,619

 

 

 

2011

                  0

                  1

                  4

                41

                58

              244

         16,272

           16,620

 

 

 

2012

                  0

                  0

                  1

                  4

                41

                58

              244

                349

 

 

 

2013

 

                  0

                  0

                  1

                  4

                41

                58

                104

 

 

 

2014

 

 

                  0

                  0

                  1

                  4

                41

                  47

 

 

 

2015

 

 

 

                  0

                  0

                  1

                  4

                    6

 

 

 

2016

 

 

 

 

                  0

                  0

                  1

                    1

 

 

 

2017

 

 

 

 

 

                  0

                  0

                    1

 Subtotal, amount collected through 2011

 

         16,620

         16,619

         16,619

         16,614

         16,573

         16,516

         16,272

         115,834

 Subtotal, amount collected 2012 to 2017

 

                 -  

                  0

                  1

                  1

                  6

                47

              104

                159

 Totals

 

 

 

         16,620

         16,620

         16,620

         16,620

         16,620

         16,620

         16,620

         116,341

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Assumptions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Tax base loss each year

0.38%

 Reflects 3 year experience (1997 to 1999) of "excess of cancellations over supplements" in tax base.  

 Delinquency rate

 

2.10%

 Reflects 3 year experience (1997 to 1999)

 

 

 

 

 Delinquency collections

 Year

 Rate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       1

70.0%

 Reflects approximate 3 year experience (1997 to 1999)

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       2

55.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       3

87.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       4

70.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       5

37.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       6

40.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       7

40.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Total

ta